Below-Average 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Likely, Forecasters Say

Below-Average 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Likely, Forecasters Say
      I was happy to read that hurricane season will probably have fewer hurricanes forming this year.  I like many people have relatives in Florida and worry each year about hurricane season.  luckily my dad researched where hurricanes hit and bought a house in an area that has not been hit the 20 years they have lived there.
     The article states that just because fewer form that does not guarantee that fewer cause damage on land because this only predicts the amount of tropical storms and hurricanes. Crawford says. "We often see enhanced low-level easterly flow and upper-level westerly flow across the Atlantic (in El Nino events), which increases vertical wind shear." Vertical wind shear makes it hard for cyclones to start and makes it hard for hurricanes to form. Another big factor in keeping these storms from forming is El Nino pushing dry air down in the region where hurricanes form.  El Nino pushing dry air down which makes it harder to form hurricanes.
     This sounds like good news as long as the storms that do form do not hit land with more frequency and strength.
http://www.weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-season-forecast-atlantic-2015-noaa-weather-channel-csu